Inverted Yields, Negative Rates, and U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward ...

Forests may reduce not only small floods but also the probability of major ones, according to a new study challenging ...

The Storm Prediction Center has introduced new severe weather outlook changes for the severe weather season starting in March ...

Discover how Monte Carlo analysis helps investors assess risk and make informed decisions. Explore its role in generating ...

The US equity market stands at the most extreme valuations in history, on the measures we find best correlated with actual ...

A multifractal spectrum called a weighted Cantor set model can describe how galaxies cluster, which is similar to other ...

Bayes' theorem is a statistical formula used to calculate conditional probability. Learn how it works, how to calculate it ...

A new study has demonstrated how networks of spiking nanolasers could emulate a key principle of brain function: to imagine ...

Federal Reserve reveals that prediction market data from Kalshi could improve how policymakers gauge macroeconomic expectations in real time.

A fully automated bot quietly captured micro-arbitrage opportunities on short-term crypto prediction markets, netting nearly ...

Introduction Cerebral palsy (CP) is a non-progressive condition involving movement and muscle tone difficulties due to injury to the developing brain. Most cases arise around birth, but a smaller ...